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Oil climbs as dollar slips, but demand fears keep a lid on gains

Oil prices turned higher on Friday as the dollar eased, but gains were capped by recession fears and fresh concerns that COVID outbreaks will dent fuel demand in China.

Brent crude futures rose 65 cents, 0.7%, to $95.32 a barrel at 0155 GMT. The contract was on track to end the week down just 0.5%.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures climbed 66 cents, or 0.8%, to $88.83 a barrel putting the contract on course for a weekly gain of 1%.

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Nifty below 18100, Sensex trades flat amid weak global cues; Infosys, HDFC Bank lead gains

Bulls defied global cues as Indian benchmark indices were trading with marginal gains on the week’s last trading day. NSE Nifty 50 opened nearly 50 points higher to trade above 18,100 levels, while BSE Sensex advanced over 100 points to trade at 60,968 levels. Broader markets also jumped in tandem as Nifty MidCap 100 and Nifty SmallCap 100 indices rose up to 0.5%. Barring Nifty IT and Nifty Pharma indices, all other sectors traded green.

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70 pts lower; IT, Consumer Durable drag; PSU Bank shines.

Most markets ended in red on Thursday after Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted the Fed would raise interest rates more in the future. Korea, Mainland China and Hong Kong closed lower today, while the European market also traded in red in the morning session. 

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13:40EURECB’s Panetta Speaks 15:02
1 minEURSpanish 10-Year Obligacion Auction3.225%
1 minEURItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate (Sep)7.8%7.8%
31 minGBPServices PMI (Oct)47.550.0
31 minGBPComposite PMI (Oct)47.249.1
8 minEURSpanish 5-Year Bonos Auction2.228%
18 minEURECB’s Elderson Speaks 
28 minEURGreek Unemployment Rate (Sep)12.2%
28 minEURUnemployment Rate (Sep)6.6%6.6%
16:30EURFrench 10-Year OAT Auction2.59%
16:30EURIrish Unemployment4.3K
17:00USDChallenger Job Cuts (YoY)67.6%
17:00USDChallenger Job Cuts29.989K
17:00USDChallenger Job Cuts (Oct)29.989K
17:30GBPBoE Interest Rate Decision (Nov)3.00%2.25%
17:30GBPBoE MPC vote unchanged (Nov)0
17:30GBPBoE MPC vote hike (Nov)99
17:30GBPBoE MPC vote cut (Nov)0
17:30EURECB McCaul Speaks 
18:00CADImports (Sep)63.86B
18:00GBPBoE Gov Bailey Speaks 
18:00USDJobless Claims 4-Week Avg.219.00K
18:00USDContinuing Jobless Claims1,450K1,438K
18:00USDInitial Jobless Claims220K217K
18:00USDImports326.30B
18:00USDExports258.90B
18:00INRM3 Money Supply9.1%
18:00USDTrade Balance (Sep)-72.20B-67.40B
18:00CADBuilding Permits (MoM) (Sep)-6.1%11.9%
18:00USDUnit Labor Costs (QoQ) (Q3)4.1%10.2%
18:00CADTrade Balance (Sep)1.34B1.52B
18:00CADExports (Sep)65.38B
18:00USDNonfarm Productivity (QoQ) (Q3)0.6%-4.1%
18:30RUBCentral Bank reserves (USD)541.0B
19:15USDServices PMI (Oct)46.649.3
19:15USDS&P Global Composite PMI (Oct)47.349.5
19:30USDFactory Orders (MoM) (Sep)0.3%0.0%
19:30USDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Oct)68.7
19:30USDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Oct)55.556.7
19:30USDISM Non-Manufacturing Employment (Oct)53.0
19:30USDISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (Oct)60.6
19:30USDISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity (Oct)59.1
19:30USDDurables Excluding Defense (MoM) (Sep)1.4%
19:30USDDurables Excluding Transport (MoM) (Sep)-0.5%
19:30USDFactory orders ex transportation (MoM) (Sep)0.2%
19:45GBPBoE Gov Bailey Speaks 
20:00INRExports (USD)35.45B
20:00INRImports (USD)61.16B
20:00INRTrade Balance-25.71B
20:00USDNatural Gas Storage97B52B
21:00USD4-Week Bill Auction3.600%
21:00USD8-Week Bill Auction3.820%
23:00CADBoC Deputy Governor Beaudry Speaks 
23:00BRLForeign Exchange Flows

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North Asia ramps up stockpiling for winter to cut costly spot LNG buys

Key North Asian economies are stockpiling fuel, diversifying sources and conserving power to ensure adequate supplies for winter, as an unprecedented global energy crisis makes spot liquefied natural gas (LNG) purchases costly.

Major LNG importers – Japan, South Korea and China – have been grappling with soaring prices of the super-chilled fuel after Russia cut supplies to Europe following its invasion of Ukraine, leading to a surge in Asian spot prices as well.

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Gold, Copper Slip as Powell Dashes Fed Pivot Hopes

Gold prices fell on Thursday, reversing recent gains as hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell dashed hopes that interest rate hikes will end soon, while copper prices were also hit by uncertainty over China withdrawing its zero-COVID policy.

The Fed hiked interest rates by an as-expected 75 basis points (bps), and said that it was “very premature” to consider pausing further rate hikes.

While Powell hinted that future rate hikes may be of a smaller magnitude, the central bank appears to be further away from the end of its tightening cycle than previously thought. Powell said that U.S. rates will likely end the cycle higher than previously expected.

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